Match Info

Championship - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.93	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.46	4.69	Watch
	1.82	3.48	5.08
	1.95	3.24	4.35	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4.2
	1.86	3.32	5.18	Watch
	1.82	3.46	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.96)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	4.69 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
51.3%

Draw
28.4%

Oxford United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

31%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	28%	20%

Cardiff City - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Cardiff (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horvath E. (G) 38. Ng P. 2. Fish W. 12. Chambers C. 11. O'Dowda C. (C) 15. Mannsverk S. 35. Rinomhota A. 16. Willock C. 18. Robertson A. 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.	1. Cumming J. (G) 30. Kioso P. 47. Helik M. 16. Nelson B. 12. Bennett J. 4. Vaulks W. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 7. Placheta P. 18. Matos A. 19. Goodrham T. 50. Bradshaw T.
Substitutes
29. Alves W. 23. Bagan J. 27. Colwill R. 5. Daland J. 4. Goutas D. 19. Meite Y. 32. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)	15. El Mizouni I. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 44. Mills S. 5. Moore E. 10. Phillips M. 20. Rodrigues R. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.
Coaches
Ramsey A.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Placheta P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kioso P. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
46', Placheta P. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
51', Helik M. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Salech Y. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
59', Matos A. 🟨,
69', Matos A. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
69', Bradshaw T. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
70', Ashford C. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
75', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
75', Willock C. ↓, Alves W. ↑,
78', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. ⚽, Goodrham T. (A),
80', Mannsverk S. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
80', Salech Y. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
82', Bennett J. ↓, Moore E. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).

Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oxford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cardiff is a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Davies I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Injury) Ng P. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Oxford: Moore E. (Hamstring Injury) ter Avest H. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
18.04.25	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Cardiff City - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Preston North End - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTTT
- Oxford United
English League Championship
18.04.25	Oxford United - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Middlesbrough - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.24	Oxford United - Cardiff City	3:2

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