Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	21:00	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV6
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	03:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Exxen
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
International	19:00	Disney+


	Oxford United		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.33	Watch
	8.5	5	1.36
	9.76	4.92	1.34	Watch
	9.6	5.27	1.34
	9.11	5	1.35	Watch
	8.5	4.6	1.36
	9.03	5.31	1.37	Watch
	9.76	4.92	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.1 ↑ (8.29)	5 ↑ (4.93)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
10.5%

Draw
19%

Leeds United
70.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.4%

19.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

18.4%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Oxford United - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Leeds will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 47. Helik M. 16. Nelson B. 12. Bennett J. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 4. Vaulks W. 7. Placheta P. 18. Matos A. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M.	26. Darlow K. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 44. Gruev I. 29. Gnonto W. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
50. Bradshaw T. 15. El Mizouni I. 21. Ingram M. (G) 30. Kioso P. 22. Leigh G. 44. Mills S. 10. Phillips M. 20. Rodrigues R. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.	9. Bamford P. 25. Byram S. 23. Guilavogui J. 7. James D. 19. Joseph M. 1. Meslier I. (G) 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Solomon M. ⚽, Bogle J. (A),
42', Placheta P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Vaulks W. 🟨,
61', Helik M. 🟨,
62', Gruev I. 🟨,
65', Bennett J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
65', Harris M. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
76', Gnonto W. ↓, James D. ↑,
76', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
80', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
80', Matos A. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
84', Mills S. 🟨,
87', Solomon M. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
89', Goodrham T. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
90+2', Bogle J. 🟨,
90+5', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Oxford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leeds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leeds is certain favorite.

There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury) ter Avest H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leeds: Chambers S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Oxford: Moore E. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
12.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Middlesbrough - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Oxford United - Watford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WLWLW
- Leeds United
English League Championship
12.04.25	Leeds United - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Luton Town - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Leeds United - Swansea City	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.12.24	Leeds United - Oxford United	4:0
Club Friendly
24.07.18	Oxford United - Leeds United	4:3
29.07.17	Leeds United - Oxford United	2:0
English League Cup
28.08.12	Leeds United - Oxford United	3:0

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