The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough 68.4%
Draw 20.1%
Oxford United 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
20.9%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
20%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
4.8%
19%
Middlesbrough - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 58% – 94.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 6. Fry D. (C) 29. Malanda A. 3. Targett M. 7. Hackney H. 18. Morris A. 11. Whittaker M. 45. Sarmiento J. 13. Strelec D. 9. Conway T.
1. Cumming J. (G) 15. Spencer B. 37. Makosso C. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 38. McDonnell J. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 17. Mills S. 44. Peart-Harris M. 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 27. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
12. Ayling L. 16. Browne A. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 8. McGree R. 15. Munroe F. 20. Sene M. K. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
33. Donley J. 10. Emakhu A. 9. Harris M. 6. Helik M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 2. Long S. 12. Roosken R. 11. ter Haar Romeny O. 4. Vaulks W.
Coaches
Hellberg K.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Morris A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
57', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
57', Jeon Jin-Woo ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
57', McDonnell J. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
60', Sarmiento J. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
62', Brannagan C. 🟨,
75', Targett M. 🟨,
75', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
75', Morris A. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
84', Whittaker M. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
86', Gilbert A. 🟨,
86', Lankshear W. ↓, Helik M. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Middlesbrough is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Oxford is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Middlesbrough is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Leigh G.
(Inactive)
Prelec N.
(Groin Injury)
ter Avest H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Castledine L.
(Inactive)
We predict that Middlesbrough will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
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Brynn S. (G) 
Malanda A. 
Morris A. 
Sarmiento J. 
Strelec D. 
Conway T. 
Spencer B. 
Makosso C. 
Jeon Jin-Woo 
Browne A. 
Hansen S. 
McGree R. 
Sene M. K. 
Harris M. 
Helik M. 
Roosken R. 
ter Haar Romeny O. 
Hellberg K. 
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