Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay, V Sport 1
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Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
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United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Cardiff City		Southampton

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.7	Watch
	4.75	4	1.72	Watch
	4.83	3.88	1.72
	4.93	3.88	1.65	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.7
	4.63	3.94	1.73	Watch
	4.75	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.35)	3.91 ↑ (3.76)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
20%

Draw
24.3%

Southampton
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.2%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

24.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Cardiff City - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 4. Goutas D. 31. Fagan-Walcott M. 23. Bagan J. 35. Rinomhota A. 43. Gbadehan A. 36. Conte R. 27. Colwill R. 45. Ashford C. 46. Reindorf M.	13. Lumley J. (G) 14. Bree J. 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 21. Taylor C. (C) 33. Dibling T. 26. Ugochukwu L. 18. Fernandes M. 23. Edozie S. 19. Archer C. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S.
Substitutes
37. Davies T. 49. Giles L. 50. Jefferies I. 51. Mafico D. 53. Nyakuhwa T. 18. Robertson A. 41. Turner M. (G) 52. Twose C. 54. Wigley M.	54. Akachukwu R. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 10. Lallana A. 28. Larios J. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 57. Moore J. 60. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 46. Robinson J.
Coaches
Bulut E.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Fernandes M. ⚽, Dibling T. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, Reindorf M. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
36', Colwill R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Gbadehan A. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Edwards R. (Own goal),
53', Dibling T. 🟨,
55', 2 - 3, Archer C. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
57', 3 - 3, Robertson A. ⚽, Conte R. (A),
63', Colwill R. ↓, Twose C. ↑,
64', Fernandes M. ↓, Bella-Kotchap A. ↑,
64', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Lallana A. ↑,
69', Bree J. 🟨,
73', Wood N. 🟨,
78', Kpakio R. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
86', Edwards R. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
89', Fagan-Walcott M. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 4, Bree J. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 5, Archer C. ⚽, Dibling T. (A),
90+5', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↑,
90+5', Dibling T. ↓, Larios J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match S`hampton is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
25.08.24	Swansea City - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Burnley - Cardiff City	5:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Cardiff City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
10.08.24	Cardiff City - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Cardiff City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWLW
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
24.08.24	Southampton - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Southampton - Getafe	0:0 ✺
07.08.24	Southampton - Lazio	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Millwall - Southampton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.04.24	Cardiff City - Southampton	2:1
02.12.23	Southampton - Cardiff City	2:0
Club Friendly
27.07.21	Cardiff City - Southampton	0:4
English Premier League
09.02.19	Southampton - Cardiff City	1:2
08.12.18	Cardiff City - Southampton	1:0
12.04.14	Southampton - Cardiff City	0:1
26.12.13	Cardiff City - Southampton	0:3

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