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Current Win Probability
Cardiff Draconians 35%
Draw 24.8%
Carmarthen Town 40.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.9%
24.7%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
23.6%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Cardiff Draconians - Carmarthen Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Thomas L. 🟥,
16', Amin D. 🟥,
31', 0 - 1, Reed L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 0 - 2, Jones H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 2, Egan C. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Cawley S. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 6th).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Carmarthen Town could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Cardiff Draconians has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff Draconians has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff Draconians against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.