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Current Win Probability
Ammanford 6.9%
Draw 14.5%
Pen-y-Bont 78.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13%
22.8%
64.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
22.2%
65.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ammanford's form might have worsened.
Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pen-y-Bont's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ammanford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ammanford - Pen y Bont Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
. Wright T. 26. Davies L. 24. Evans J. 13. Hopkins J. 7. John A. 8. Orme A. 3. Sauane B. 25. Shirt C. 12. Sylvester L. 10. Thomas C. 2. Woodhouse S.
1. Higgs D. (G) 21. Baker A. 22. Barrow D. 6. Davies M. 17. Jefferies D. 20. Manga M. 4. Mehew T. 32. Shephard L. 33. Vaughan E. 23. Walker T. 7. Wood N.
Substitutes
30. Case J. M. 6. Delaney M. 14. Fisher M. 4. Griffiths E. 23. Owen L. 22. Rowe H. 1. Williams O. (G)
10. Cann E. 60. Debono A. 11. Leko J. 55. Mashlan J. 25. Pennock A. (G) 14. Phillips I. 9. Venables C.
Coaches
Thomas W.
Griffiths R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Davies M. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Mehew T. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Walker T. ⚽,
45', 0 - 4, Wood N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shephard L. ↓, Debono A. ↑,
46', Davies M. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
46', Evans J. ↓, Fisher M. ↑,
46', Orme A. ↓, Delaney M. ↑,
46', Sylvester L. ↓, Rowe H. ↑,
46', John A. ↓, Griffiths E. ↑,
55', Walker T. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Delaney M. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Barrow D. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
63', Walker T. ↓, Cann E. ↑,
64', Davies L. 🟨,
73', Shirt C. ↓, Case J. M. ↑,
76', Baker A. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
87', 0 - 5, Cann E. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 5, Delaney M. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
Recent results have been tough for Ammanford (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Pen-y-Bont shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, Pen-y-Bont enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ammanford has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 1.3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ammanford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
United-kingdom
Wales
Watch
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Wright T. 
Davies L. 
Sauane B. 
Barrow D. 
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