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Current Win Probability
Llandudno 44.5%
Draw 25.6%
Cardiff Metropolitan 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
26.6%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
26.8%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llandudno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llandudno's performance.
Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Metropolitan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llandudno than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llandudno that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Metropolitan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Llandudno - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 8. Cadwallader M. 21. Edwards K. 17. Faux J. 52. Flint N. 26. Lloyd J. 7. Lloyd K. 20. Pownall J. 18. Smith K. 2. Stephens C. 22. Williams M.
1. Davies A. (G) 8. Craven C. 14. Dymond-Hall S. 3. Edwards J. 23. Hooper J. 11. Mwandwe L. 9. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 36. Snaith S. 4. Veale J. 24. Wildig A.
Substitutes
51. Fisher J. (G) 29. Higgins L. 28. Hughes L. 16. Maher B. 12. Morris C. 27. Ruberto C. 6. Weaver R.
12. Gaughan B. 13. Howard W. (G) 20. John H. 18. Lloyd T. 29. Matthews H. 16. McKenzie M. 6. Reynolds R.
Coaches
Hadaway J.
Jenkins R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Payne J. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
48', 🟨,
63', Williams M. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
63', Cadwallader M. ↓, Higgins L. ↑,
64', Flint N. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
66', 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Edwards J. ⚽,
81', Faux J. ↓, Ruberto C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 7th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llandudno won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Llandudno (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Cardiff Metropolitan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cardiff Metropolitan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Llandudno is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Llandudno has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 0.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Llandudno against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.3:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Cardiff Metropolitan
12
6
3
3
23:13
10
21
10
Llandudno
12
5
1
6
21:19
2
16
Last Results with these Odds
Llandudno - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Cardiff Metropolitan - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Wales
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Torrance J. (G) 
Cadwallader M. 
Faux J. 
Ruberto C. 
Gaughan B. 
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