Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	7.75
	1.26	5.35	8.2
	1.28	5.52	8.89
	1.3	5.3	8.4	Watch
	1.25	5.4	8.7
	1.25	5.2	8.8
	1.26	5.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	5.35 ↑ (5.04)	8.42 ↑ (7.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
72.1%

Draw
17.1%

Trefelin
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

18.1%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17.1%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cardiff Metropolitan - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 15th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Cardiff Metropolitan has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Trefelin is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Cardiff Metropolitan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cardiff Metropolitan holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Trefelin: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cardiff Metropolitan	12	6	3	3	23:13	10	21
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.10.26	Llandudno - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Flint Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTLT
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.10.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Trefelin	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Trefelin - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLL

Cardiff Metropolitan - Trefelin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide