Match Info

National League - Round 42

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	01:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.52	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.58	4.28	5.27
	1.52	4.5	5.23	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.57	4.09	5.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.48)	4.2 ↓ (4.38)	5.18 ↓ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
60%

Draw
22.1%

Gateshead
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

21%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Carlisle United - Gateshead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 10. Linney R. 30. Parker H.	47. Desbois A. (G) 5. Richardson K. (C) 3. Ferguson D. 6. Nicholson B. 8. Bowen S. 20. Fenton J. 7. Ward K. 17. Home J. 10. Butterfield J. 32. Chapman H. 29. Boatswain A.
Substitutes
2. Davies A. 12. Galvin R. 13. Mair A. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 8. Whelan C. 23. Wyke Ch. 25. Yeboah E.	22. Anifowose J. 19. Beck M. 21. Chadwick B. 25. Moore E. 11. Newton T. 48. Patterson-Powell R. 28. Storey L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Richardson K. ↓, Storey L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Butterfield J. ↓, Moore E. ↑,
46', Home J. ↓, Anifowose J. ↑,
52', Ferguson D. 🟨,
69', Ajiboye D. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
69', Ellis J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
69', Parker H. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
71', Bowen S. ↓, Patterson-Powell R. ↑,
72', Gilliead A. 🟨,
80', Chapman H. ↓, Beck M. ↑,
88', Ward K. 🟨,
89', Davies A. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Carlisle has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of home games.

In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25:21	4	20
24	Gateshead	14	1	1	12	9:33	-24	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
28.03.26	Braintree Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Halifax Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Carlisle United - Boston United	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Gateshead
English National League
28.03.26	Gateshead - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Gateshead - York City	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Boreham Wood - Gateshead	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Gateshead - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Gateshead - Carlisle United	2:0
18.08.20	Gateshead - Carlisle United	1:1

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