Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Braintree Town		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.48
	5.7	4.45	1.47
	5.84	4.45	1.51
	6.2	4.41	1.47	Watch
	5.75	4	1.5
	5.55	4.54	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↓ (6.05)	4.39 ↓ (4.58)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
16.2%

Draw
21.2%

Carlisle United
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

20.1%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

19.4%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Braintree Town - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carlisle: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terry M. (G) 2. Francis-Clarke A. 32. Harriman-Annous B. 21. Drake B. 8. Battrum R. 6. Vennings J. 19. Dibley-Dias M. 39. Thorpe E. 33. Okunowo E. 14. Akinde J. (C) 9. Walker L.	1. Breeze G. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 10. Linney R. 30. Parker H.
Substitutes
11. Cooper C. 10. Hadi A. 23. Harriott C. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M.	29. Armstrong L. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 2. Davies A. 13. Mair A. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 8. Whelan C. 25. Yeboah E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Walker L. ⚽, Thorpe E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gilliead A. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
57', Okunowo E. 🟨,
64', Ajiboye D. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
65', Wearne S. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
65', Parker H. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
77', Okunowo E. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
81', Drake B. 🟨,
82', Armstrong L. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
84', Thorpe E. ↓, Omrore M. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Harper C. ⚽,
90+2', Walker L. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Braintree is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carlisle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Carlisle is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Braintree won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League
24.03.26	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Braintree Town - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Morecambe - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Braintree Town - Wealdstone	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	Gateshead - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLL
- Carlisle United
English National League
24.03.26	Halifax Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Carlisle United - Boston United	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.08.25	Carlisle United - Braintree Town	5:0

Braintree Town - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide