Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Shay (Halifax)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Halifax Town		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.35
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.78	3.4	2.35
	2.83	3.61	2.39
	2.73	3.46	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.67	3.34	2.29
	3	3.45	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
33.2%

Draw
27%

Carlisle United
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Halifax Town - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Halifax will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Carlisle (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 19. Warburton A. 15. Smith W. 27. Turner-Cooke J. 5. Hobson S. 30. Johnson C. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 4. Hugill W. 8. Hmami J. 24. Palmer A. 9. Harris W.	1. Breeze G. (G) 37. Macadam H. 4. Thomas T. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 18. Ellis J. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
17. Bray O. 23. Crowe D. 12. Ford N. (G) 18. Hoti F. 22. Kawa D. 16. Mills J. 26. Waters B.	31. Atkinson H. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 2. Davies A. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Galvin R. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
73', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
73', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
79', Hugill W. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
81', Linney R. 🟨,
83', Smith W. 🟨,
83', Linney R. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
83', Ajiboye D. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
88', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Kawa D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Halifax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FC Halifax	13	6	2	5	22:15	7	20
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17

Last Results with these Odds

Carlisle United - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League
21.03.26	Solihull Moors - Halifax Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Halifax Town - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWTT
- Carlisle United
English National League
21.03.26	Carlisle United - Boston United	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0
Club Friendly
30.07.21	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	3:0

Halifax Town - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide