Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Shay (Halifax) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Australia	06:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	22:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	03:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	01:15	DAZN
Indonesia	02:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	03:45	DAZN
Mexico	13:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	15:45	DAZN
Philippines	03:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	22:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	21:45	DAZN
South Korea	04:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Thailand	02:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:45	DAZN
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
Vietnam	02:45	DAZN


	Halifax Town		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.35
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.78	3.4	2.35
	2.83	3.61	2.39
	2.73	3.46	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.67	3.34	2.29
	3	3.45	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
33.2%

Draw
27%

Carlisle United
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Halifax Town - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Halifax will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Carlisle (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 19. Warburton A. 15. Smith W. 27. Turner-Cooke J. 5. Hobson S. 30. Johnson C. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 4. Hugill W. 8. Hmami J. 24. Palmer A. 9. Harris W.	1. Breeze G. (G) 37. Macadam H. 4. Thomas T. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 18. Ellis J. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
17. Bray O. 23. Crowe D. 12. Ford N. (G) 18. Hoti F. 22. Kawa D. 16. Mills J. 26. Waters B.	31. Atkinson H. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 2. Davies A. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Galvin R. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
73', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
73', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
79', Hugill W. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
81', Linney R. 🟨,
83', Smith W. 🟨,
83', Linney R. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
83', Ajiboye D. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
88', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Kawa D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Halifax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	28:21	7	23
10	FC Halifax	15	6	3	6	26:20	6	21

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 2.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Carlisle United - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League
21.03.26	Solihull Moors - Halifax Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Halifax Town - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Halifax Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWTT
- Carlisle United
English National League
21.03.26	Carlisle United - Boston United	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0
Club Friendly
30.07.21	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	3:0

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