Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Lima		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.20	6.50
	1.4	4.55	7.1	Watch
	1.4	4.86	8.16
	1.41	4.79	6.97	Watch
	1.34	4.85	8.15
	1.43	4.54	6.56	Watch
	1.38	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	4.59 ↓ (4.78)	7.09 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
66.6%

Draw
20.3%

Sport Huancayo
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

19.4%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

15.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Huancayo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 5. Pavez E. 7. Gaibor F. 20. Velez J. 99. Girotti F. 8. Castillo E. 34. Paolo Guerrero (C)	12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 92. Murillo Y. 2. Angeles H. 8. Carabano D. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 70. Valoyes J. 10. Lujan N. 23. Magallanes P. 99. Caballero F.
Substitutes
29. Archimbaud J. 11. Cantero A. 15. Castillo J. 4. Chavez G. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 32. Garcia J. 25. Gentile G. 30. Motta G. 22. Neira C.	4. Barreda J. 7. Campodonico R. 21. Campos D. (G) 17. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 19. Huaccha R. 97. Porozo D. 28. Rostaing J. 11. Sanguinetti J. 38. Villar E.
Coaches
Guede P.	Pellejero R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Lujan N. ⚽, Magallanes P. (A),
28', Carabano D. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caballero F. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
57', Angeles H. 🟨,
57', Pellejero R. 🟥,
59', Castillo E. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Huaman M. (A),
65', Advincula L. 🟨,
69', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
70', Murillo Y. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
70', Magallanes P. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
70', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
77', Lujan N. 🟨,
80', Lujan N. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
80', Gaibor F. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
83', Gaona M. ↓, Barreda J. ↑,
88', Huaman M. 🟨,
90+2', Castillo E. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
90+2', Velez J. ↓, Neira C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4.

Recent form of Alianza Lima has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Huancayo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza Lima is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sport Huancayo	11	7	1	3	17:13	4	22
11	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Lima	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLTT
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
11.07.26	Sport Huancayo - Los Chankas	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Unión Minas - Sport Huancayo	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.01.26	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	1:2
20.10.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	1:2
14.06.25	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	0:0
22.10.24	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	2:1
11.05.24	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	0:2
16.08.23	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	1:0
19.03.23	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	2:1

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