Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Carpi		Padova

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.6	3.1	1.75
	4.4	3	1.78
	4.4	3	1.79
	4.8	3.23	1.83
	4.75	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.38	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.95)	3.2 ↓ (3.42)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
20%

Draw
28.5%

Padova
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

26.4%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

16.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carpi - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Carpi won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.21	FeralpiSalò - Carpi	6:1 ✺
11.04.21	Carpi - Matelica	4:1 ✺
03.04.21	Gubbio - Carpi	0:4 ✺
28.03.21	Carpi - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Triestina - Carpi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.21	Modena - Padova	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	Padova - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Triestina - Padova	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Padova - Ravenna	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	Vis Pesaro - Padova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.02.21	Padova - Carpi	6:0
25.01.20	Carpi - Padova	1:1
15.09.19	Padova - Carpi	0:0
Italian Serie B
06.04.19	Carpi - Padova	2:1
24.11.18	Padova - Carpi	0:1
11.03.14	Carpi - Padova	1:1
01.02.14	Padova - Carpi	1:4

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