Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio


	Forlì		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.44	2.99	2.91	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.88
	2.46	2.82	2.94	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.32)	2.89 ↓ (3.3)	2.91 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
37.2%

Draw
31.5%

Sambenedettese
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Forlì - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 25. Elia M. 4. Saporetti L. 14. Spinelli A. 23. De Risio C. 3. Menarini F. 8. Franzolini A. 10. Macri D. 7. Petrelli E. 30. Coveri V.	1. Orsini T. (G) 17. Pezzola L. 21. Dalmazzi A. 98. Lepri T. 4. Zini A. 80. Piccoli M. 8. Bongelli R. 18. Candellori K. 14. Tosi F. 9. Eusepi U. 27. Stoppa M.
Substitutes
15. Berti N. 11. Farinelli N. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 13. Greco G. 20. Ilari C. 2. Mandrelli N. 36. Onofri M. 38. Paganelli L. (G) 26. Palomba L. . Ripani D. 9. Selvini A. 12. Veliaj G. (G)	5. Chelli M. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 47. Konate A. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Lulli L. 11. Parigini V. 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 37. Toure M. 15. Zoboletti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Menarini F. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Stoppa M. ⚽,
17', Spinelli A. 🟨,
22', Saporetti L. 🟨,
37', Petrelli E. ↓, Ilari C. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 2, Dalmazzi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Bongelli R. 🟨,
53', Bongelli R. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
57', Coveri V. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
57', Saporetti L. ↓, Palomba L. ↑,
57', Spinelli A. ↓, Onofri M. ↑,
63', De Risio C. ↓, Giovannini A. ↑,
64', Tosi F. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
64', Stoppa M. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
77', Zini A. ↓, Zoboletti A. ↑,
90+7', Parigini V. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Sambenedettese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Forlì won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.26	Ravenna - Forlì	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Forlì - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perugia - Forlì	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Forlì - Carpi	4:2 ✺
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLWL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.26	Sambenedettese - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Bra - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Pontedera - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.09.25	Sambenedettese - Forlì	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Forlì - Sambenedettese	3:1
Italian Serie C Group B
12.02.17	Sambenedettese - Forlì	1:2
24.09.16	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:1

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