Match Info

Serie B - Round 36

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Ukraine	Maincast Sport
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Frosinone		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.15	4.65
	1.62	4.39	5.06
	1.61	4.2	4.84	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.6
	1.6	4.2	4.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)	4.17 ↓ (4.38)	4.8 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
58.2%

Draw
22.4%

Carrarese
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

20.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frosinone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Frosinone - Carrarese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 3. Calvani G. 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 16. Cichella M. 10. Gelli F. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.	1. Bleve M. (G) 72. Zanon S. 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. 13. Bouah D. 77. Parlanti G. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 70. Hasa L. 7. Belloni N. 21. Rubino T. 32. Finotto M.
Substitutes
99. Barcella K. 40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 92. Kone B. L. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.	9. Abiuso F. 37. Calabrese N. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 78. Guercio T. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 73. Rouhi J. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E. 17. Zuelli E.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Ghedjemis F. 🟨,
42', Bouah D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Calo G. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Schiavi N. 🟨,
59', Schiavi N. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
59', Bouah D. ↓, Calabrese N. ↑,
59', Rubino T. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
69', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
70', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
70', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Fiori A. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
73', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
77', Finotto M. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
80', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
80', Gelli F. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
90', Abiuso F. 🟨,
90+1', Calo G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 0, Kone B. L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Frosinone has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carrarese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Frosinone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Frosinone is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Frosinone: Cittadini G. (Yellow Cards) Corrado N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M. (Inactive) Ruggeri F. (Yellow Cards) Salamon B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Koutsoupias I. (Inactive) Marchizza R. (Inactive)

We predict that Frosinone will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Carrarese: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.04.26	Modena - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Frosinone - Palermo	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Frosinone - Padova	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
18.03.26	Frosinone - Bari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.04.26	Carrarese - Pescara	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Carrarese - Spezia	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bari - Carrarese	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Carrarese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:2
08.03.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:1
05.10.24	Frosinone - Carrarese	0:1
Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Frosinone - Carrarese	4:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
06.01.13	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:1

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