Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Carrarese		Novara

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.8
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.95	3.1	3.65
	1.96	2.95	3.75
	2.01	3.31	4.06
	2	3.2	3.7
	1.96	3.22	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.19)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	3.79 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
46.7%

Draw
29.2%

Novara
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

20.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carrarese - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Carrarese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carrarese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.21	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Carrarese - Lecco	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Piacenza - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Carrarese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTTL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.21	Novara - Livorno	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Pontedera - Novara	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Novara - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Giana Erminio - Novara	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Lucchese - Novara	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.20	Novara - Carrarese	1:1
20.10.19	Novara - Carrarese	2:1
10.02.19	Novara - Carrarese	1:2
14.10.18	Carrarese - Novara	4:2

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