Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Carrarese		Lecco

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.15	2.85	3.4
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.14	2.75	3.5
	2.13	2.86	4.32
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.11	3.14	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.6 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
43.3%

Draw
31.2%

Lecco
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

21.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carrarese - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Carrarese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lecco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Carrarese have a series of guest games.

Carrarese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Piacenza - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Carrarese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Pro Patria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Pro Vercelli - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLTL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Lecco - Como	4:0 ✺
03.02.21	Alessandria - Lecco	0:0 ✺
30.01.21	Lecco - Livorno	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Giana Erminio - Lecco	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	AlbinoLeffe - Lecco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.20	Lecco - Carrarese	0:0
03.11.19	Carrarese - Lecco	0:2

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