Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Carrarese		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.3
				Watch
	2.46	2.97	3.55
	2.42	2.88	3.45	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.4
	2.4	2.92	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	2.92 ↓ (3.21)	3.42 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
40%

Draw
32.4%

Nuova Cosenza
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 72. Zanon S. 4. Illanes J. 6. Oliana F. 13. Bouah D. 18. Schiavi N. 19. Shpendi S. 17. Zuelli E. 11. Cicconi M. 9. Cherubini L. 90. Cerri L.	1. Micai A. (C) 15. Dalle Mura C. 29. Sgarbi F. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 6. Charlys 39. Kourfalidis C. 31. Ricci G. 34. Florenzi A. 10. Fumagalli T. 21. Zilli M.
Substitutes
77. Belloni N. 28. Capello A. 82. Capezzi L. 16. Cavion M. 24. Chiorra N. (G) 25. Falco F. 32. Finotto M. 7. Grassini D. 66. Hermannsson H. 29. Maressa T. 8. Palmieri R. 10. Panico G.	19. Ciervo R. 2. Cimino B. 11. D'Orazio T. 55. Hristov A. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 30. Mazzocchi S. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 32. Strizzolo L. 23. Venturi M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)
Coaches
Calabro A.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Illanes J. 🟨,
29', Fumagalli T. 🟨,
30', Florenzi A. 🟨,
32', Florenzi A. 🟨,
45+2', Zanon S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ricci G. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
46', Fumagalli T. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
65', Zilli M. ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
71', Zanon S. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
77', Cherubini L. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
77', Shpendi S. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Cicconi M. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
78', Cicconi M. 🟨,
79', Charlys ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
84', Cerri L. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
85', Caporale A. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Carrarese will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Giovane S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cosenza: Kouan C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuova Cosenza - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.12.24	Brescia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Salernitana - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Carrarese - Pisa	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWLWL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTTW

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