Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Salernitana		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.27	3.1	3.71
	2.22	3.08	3.63	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.17	3.26	3.57	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.03)	3.14 ↓ (3.29)	3.53 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
43.2%

Draw
30%

Carrarese
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

29.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Salernitana - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Sepe L. (G) 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. 44. Jaroszynski P. 30. Stojanovic P. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 29. Ghiglione P. 31. Verde D. 20. Wlodarczyk S.	1. Bleve M. (G) 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 19. Shpendi S. 9. Cherubini L. 28. Capello A.
Substitutes
24. Braaf J. 12. Corriere F. (G) 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 43. Fusco G. 2. Gentile D. 8. Hrustic A. 11. Kallon Y. 13. Ruggeri F. 77. Sfait A. 9. Simy 70. Tello A. 4. Velthuis T.	77. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 82. Capezzi L. 90. Cerri L. 24. Chiorra N. (G) 25. Falco F. 32. Finotto M. 20. Giovane S. 34. Guarino G. 39. Motolese M. 8. Palmieri R. 10. Panico G.
Coaches
Colantuono S.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Wlodarczyk S. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Soriano R. ⚽, Ghiglione P. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Schiavi N. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Schiavi N. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
46', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Verde D. (Pen),
58', Capello A. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
58', Cherubini L. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
59', Reine-Adelaide J. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
71', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Simy ↑,
72', Soriano R. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
79', Shpendi S. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
80', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
83', Jaroszynski P. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
83', Stojanovic P. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Simy ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 14).

Salernitana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Salernitana: Dalmonte N. (Injury) Maggiore G. (Injury) Njoh L. (Injury) Tongya F. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Carrarese - Pisa	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
29.10.24	Bari - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Carrarese - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTTW

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