Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Cartagena		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.6	Watch
	2.97	3	2.77
	2.95	2.99	2.66	Watch
	2.84	3.04	2.66	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.54)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	2.67 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
32.8%

Draw
32%

Málaga
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

30.5%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.4%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Cartagena - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 24. Sipcic N. 22. Olivas K. (C) 20. Nacho 11. Clemente O. 17. Andy 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 38. Nunez R. 14. Millan A. 10. Escriche D.	1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 12. Molina M. 29. Merino I. 24. Lobete J. 27. Chupe 17. Dioni
Substitutes
19. Aguirregabiria M. 21. Delmas J. 33. El Jebari S. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 32. Luna D. 16. Machin J. 6. Mini 18. Musto D. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 12. Vukcevic A.	9. Baturina R. 26. Cordero A. 6. Enriquez R. 14. Garcia V. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 11. Medina K. 35. Ochoa A. 32. Rafita 21. Rahmani Y. 23. Sangalli L.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Larrubia D. 🟨,
29', Moreno J. 🟨,
35', Merino I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Merino I. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
46', Lobete J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
61', Escriche D. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
61', Dioni ↓, Medina K. ↑,
69', Andy ↓, Machin J. ↑,
69', Clemente O. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
75', Larrubia D. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
82', Moreno J. ↓, Mini ↑,
82', Millan A. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
87', Molina M. 🟨,
89', Chupe ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
90+1', Enriquez R. 🟨,
90+3', Mini 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Baturina R. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2.

Cartagena has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Málaga is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Málaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury) Monte N. (Injury) Puga C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Málaga: Luismi (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.25	Cádiz - Cartagena	5:2 ✺
02.02.25	Cartagena - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Huesca - Cartagena	4:0 ✺
17.01.25	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ferrol - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.25	Málaga - Levante	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Mirandés - Málaga	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.24	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0
16.04.23	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0
03.11.22	Cartagena - Málaga	2:1
28.02.22	Málaga - Cartagena	1:1
07.11.21	Cartagena - Málaga	3:1
27.03.21	Cartagena - Málaga	1:1
05.12.20	Málaga - Cartagena	1:2

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