Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Zaragoza		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.62	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.8
	2.95	2.75	2.75	Watch
	2.85	2.65	2.8
	3.02	2.76	3
	2.91	2.83	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
32.5%

Draw
33.9%

Mallorca
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	41.9%	38.7%

Zaragoza - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Mallorca will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Zaragoza has a chance of relegated (35%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Zaragoza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mallorca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.20	Mirandés - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Zaragoza - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
22.10.20	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLLW
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.20	Mallorca - Málaga	3:1 ✺
26.10.20	Alcorcón - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
22.10.20	Mallorca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Mirandés - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
21.01.20	Zaragoza - Mallorca	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.03.19	Mallorca - Zaragoza	3:0
17.11.18	Zaragoza - Mallorca	2:2
16.04.17	Zaragoza - Mallorca	1:0
05.11.16	Mallorca - Zaragoza	2:2
10.04.16	Zaragoza - Mallorca	2:1
07.11.15	Mallorca - Zaragoza	0:0

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