Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Mallorca		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.1	6	Watch
	1.72	3.1	6
	1.73	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.72	3.15	5.6
	1.75	3.3	6.43
	1.91	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.22	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	5.71 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
53.7%

Draw
29.8%

Ponferradina
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

16.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	20.8%	16.7%

Mallorca - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 9).

Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Ponferradina has a chance of relegated (22%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mallorca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mallorca is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.20	Zaragoza - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
29.10.20	Mallorca - Málaga	3:1 ✺
26.10.20	Alcorcón - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
22.10.20	Mallorca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Mirandés - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWTT
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.20	Alcorcón - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Ponferradina - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
28.10.20	Espanyol - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Sporting de Gijón - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Ponferradina - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.16	Ponferradina - Mallorca	0:2
30.08.15	Mallorca - Ponferradina	1:0
20.05.15	Mallorca - Ponferradina	1:0
20.12.14	Ponferradina - Mallorca	3:1
13.04.14	Ponferradina - Mallorca	2:0
10.11.13	Mallorca - Ponferradina	2:2

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