Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 5

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza (Cartago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cartagines		Independiente de la Chorrera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4	5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.67	4.04	4.2
	1.70	3.96	4.23	Watch
	1.72	4.22	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)	3.98 ↑ (3.5)	4.32 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagines
55.8%

Draw
23%

Independiente de la Chorrera
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

26%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente de la Chorrera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente de la Chorrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Cartagines - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Venegas J. (Pen),
45+2', 2 - 0, Urena M. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Venegas J. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽, Quiroga M. (A),

Preview

Cartagines is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Independiente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cartagines is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cartagines will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cartagines
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.25	Cartagines - Verdes	8:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.08.25	Guadalupe - Cartagines	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
14.08.25	Motagua - Cartagines	0:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.08.25	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sporting San José - Cartagines	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWW
- Independiente de la Chorrera
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Deportivo Saprissa	1:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
17.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Atlético Nacional	3:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
14.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Verdes	3:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
11.08.25	Veraguas - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.25	Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLL

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