Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rommel Fernandez (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Independiente de la Chorrera		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3	1.98
				Watch
	3.43	3.47	1.95
	3.00	3.62	2.15	Watch
	3.48	3.44	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.64)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	2 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de la Chorrera
27.3%

Draw
27%

Deportivo Saprissa
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Deportivo Saprissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Independiente de la Chorrera - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Saprissa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saprissa: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Saprissa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Caicedo A. ⚽,

Preview

Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saprissa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saprissa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saprissa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
17.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Atlético Nacional	3:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
14.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Verdes	3:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
11.08.25	Veraguas - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.25	Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.08.25	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TWLLL
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.08.25	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.25	Verdes - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.08.25	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.07.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWWW

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