Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Santa Clara		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.05	2.55
	2.09	3.05	3.60
	2.42	3.08	2.87
	2.06	2.95	3.25
	2.91	3.32	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.89)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	2.8 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
37.4%

Draw
29.8%

Moreirense
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Santa Clara - Moreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Santa Clara - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Moreirense - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Porto - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Santa Clara - Braga	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Casa Pia - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTWT
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Moreirense - AVS	0:0 ✺
11.05.26	Tondela - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Benfica - Moreirense	4:1 ✺
20.04.26	Moreirense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.01.26	Moreirense - Santa Clara	1:0
17.08.25	Santa Clara - Moreirense	0:1
09.03.25	Santa Clara - Moreirense	1:1
05.10.24	Moreirense - Santa Clara	1:0
22.01.22	Moreirense - Santa Clara	0:2
15.08.21	Santa Clara - Moreirense	2:2
21.04.21	Santa Clara - Moreirense	0:0

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