Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio


	Casarano		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.52	3.3	2.58
	2.52	3.48	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3	2.45
	2.59	3.37	2.59	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.5)	3.31 ↓ (3.57)	2.5 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
35.9%

Draw
27.6%

Atalanta U23
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

25.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

24.7%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Casarano - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Casarano (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 1 - 50%). Atalanta U23 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 29. Gyamfi B. 26. Barone A. 4. Lulic K. 77. Cajazzo I. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 80. Di Dio F. 11. Ferrara V. 18. Perez L. . Leonetti V.	95. Vismara P. (G) 4. Berto G. 6. Comi P. 37. Navarro A. 66. Bergonzi F. 5. Panada S. (C) 8. Pounga D. K. 24. Ghislandi D. 7. Manzoni A. 99. Vavassori D. 14. Cisse M.
Substitutes
5. Celiento D. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 24. Gega E. 98. Giraudo F. 30. Malagnino D. 21. Millico V. . Negro S. 7. Palumbo F. 12. Pucci D. (G) 27. Versienti L. 90. Zanaboni E.	58. Bonanomi A. 11. Cassa F. 10. Cortinovis A. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 47. Levak S. 2. Plaia M. 21. Riccio L. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 25. Steffanoni F. 23. Tornaghi P. 17. Torriani A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Cisse M. ⚽,
35', Barone A. 🟥,
39', Maiello R. 🟨,
40', Cajazzo I. ↓, Giraudo F. ↑,
40', Lulic K. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
44', Manzoni A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Gega E. 🟨,
61', Di Dio F. ↓, Versienti L. ↑,
64', Manzoni A. ↓, Levak S. ↑,
71', Levak S. 🟨,
74', Leonetti V. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
74', Maiello R. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
76', Vavassori D. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
76', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
78', Vismara P. 🟨,
86', D'Alena A. 🟨,
89', Bergonzi F. ↓, Steffanoni F. ↑,
89', Panada S. ↓, Guerini A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

Casarano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atalanta U23 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Casarano - Altamura	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Casarano - Latina	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Potenza - Casarano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.26	Atalanta U23 - Latina	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Catania - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Monopoli - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.25	Atalanta U23 - Casarano	6:2

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