Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport MIX


	Benevento		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.45	7.7
	1.36	4.58	7.63	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.38	4.4	6.66	Watch
	1.35	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (2.42)	4.39 ↑ (3.5)	7.5 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
67%

Draw
20.8%

Casarano
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casarano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-27.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casarano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Benevento - Casarano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Benevento (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 20. Ceresoli A. 11. Lamesta D. 8. Maita M. (C) 10. Manconi J. 4. Prisco A. 25. Romano R. 23. Saio P. 14. Scognamillo S. 18. Simonetti P. 93. Tumminello M.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 10. Chirico C. 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 9. Grandolfo F. 29. Gyamfi B. 46. Leonetti V. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 33. Mercadante M. 27. Versienti L.
Substitutes
19. Borghini D. 33. Caldirola L. 7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 1. Russo D. (G) 9. Salvemini F. . Tagliente A. 38. Talia A. 6. Viscardi A.	77. Cajazzo I. 5. Celiento D. 35. Cerbone S. . Chiorra N. (G) 80. Di Dio F. 64. Martina M. 21. Millico V. 7. Palumbo F. 18. Perez L. 12. Pucci D. (G) 90. Zanaboni E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Manconi J. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Romano R. ⚽,
66', Manconi J. ↓, Salvemini F. ↑,
66', Lamesta D. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
66', Leonetti V. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
71', Versienti L. ↓, Celiento D. ↑,
71', Ferrara V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
71', Romano R. ↓, Talia A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', 3 - 0, Salvemini F. ⚽,
80', Prisco A. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
80', Tumminello M. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
80', Logoluso G. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
81', Simonetti P. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Benevento has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Casarano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Benevento is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benevento won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Casarano - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.01.26	Casertana - Benevento	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Benevento - Crotone	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Audace Cerignola - Benevento	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Benevento - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cavese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Casarano - Altamura	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Casarano - Latina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
06.09.25	Casarano - Benevento	1:0

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