Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 27

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Siracusa		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.15	3.65	1.6	Watch
	5.37	3.56	1.67
	5.14	3.83	1.58	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.62
	5.45	3.46	1.59	Watch
	5.33	3.66	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.93)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
17.6%

Draw
25.6%

Catania
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.1%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

26.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Siracusa - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 42. Iob S. 18. Capomaggio T. 26. Marafini A. 33. Zanini M. 17. Candiano M. (C) 28. Frisenna G. 77. Di Paolo S. 11. Riccardi P. 14. Contini G. 9. Arditi G.	67. Dini A. (G) 75. Pieraccini S. 6. Allegretto A. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. (C) 7. Jimenez K. 20. Donnarumma D. 99. D'Ausilio M. 17. Bruzzaniti G. 18. Caturano S.
Substitutes
25. Bonacchi C. 72. Di Gesu E. 20. Gudelevicius E. 30. Morreale M. 5. Pacciardi F. 10. Pannitteri O. 2. Puzone M. 7. Sbaffo A. 29. Simonetta J. 96. Sylla A. (G)	1. Bethers K. (G) 29. Cargnelutti R. 12. Coco L. (G) 14. Di Tacchio F. 32. Forte F. 68. Ierardi M. 5. Miceli M. 13. Ponsi F. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, D'Ausilio M. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
45+4', Riccardi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Di Paolo S. ⚽,
62', Caturano S. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
64', Contini G. ↓, Puzone M. ↑,
66', Jimenez K. 🟨,
69', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
71', Puzone M. 🟨,
77', Marafini A. 🟨,
83', Riccardi P. ↓, Simonetta J. ↑,
84', Jimenez K. ↓, Forte F. ↑,
90+2', Arditi G. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
90+2', Frisenna G. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
90+11', Casasola T. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 1.

Siracusa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Catania is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Siracusa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Potenza - Siracusa	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Siracusa - Crotone	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Benevento - Siracusa	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Siracusa - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Monopoli - Catania	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Catania - Cavese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0
20.01.19	Siracusa - Catania	2:1
07.11.18	Catania - Siracusa	2:1
03.03.18	Catania - Siracusa	1:0
14.10.17	Siracusa - Catania	0:1
30.04.17	Catania - Siracusa	3:1
10.12.16	Siracusa - Catania	1:0

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