Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Castellón		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.65
	2.5	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.63	3.27	2.9
	2.51	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.5	3.48	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.19)	3.35 (3.35)	2.72 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
37.4%

Draw
28%

Elche
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellón's form might have worsened.

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	16.7%	41.7%

Castellón - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Elche will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 17. Ruiz S. 51. Pastor G. 19. Villahermosa D. 6. van den Belt T. 4. Suero I. 11. Aurelio D. 16. Cipenga B. 46. Suner P. M.	1. San Roman M. (G) 22. Affengruber D. 4. Diaby B. 6. Bigas P. 23. Clerc C. 14. Febas A. 31. Hernandez G. 12. Salinas J. 10. Mercau N. 24. Santiago Y. 19. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 27. Albert J. 29. Boriko S. 23. Calavera J. 24. Camara O. 18. Lottin A. 7. Moyita S. 26. Punzano I. 20. Seuntjens M. 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 33. Vertrouwd J. 15. Willems J.	16. Alex Martin 9. Alvarez A. 21. Castro N. 13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 36. Nunez R. 11. Rashani E.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
40', El Ghezouani M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Bigas P. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bigas P. ↓, Alex Martin ↑,
46', Aurelio D. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
46', Villahermosa D. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
60', Clerc C. ↓, Josan ↑,
60', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
68', Cipenga B. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
68', Chirino D. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
71', Salinas J. 🟨,
72', Hernandez G. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
78', Ruiz S. 🟨,
86', Mercau N. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	5:1 ✺
14.12.24	Castellón - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
08.12.24	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ponferradina - Castellón	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Castellón - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.24	Elche - Castellón	0:6

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