Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Castellón		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	2.05	2.95	4.1
	2.15	2.85	4.05	Watch
	2.05	2.9	4.1
	2.13	2.96	4.52
	2.25	2.8	3.7
	2.12	2.92	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.23)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)	4.17 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
44.8%

Draw
32.6%

Lugo
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

33.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	6.6%	4.9%

Castellón - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 182 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 161 - 88.5%). Lugo will win (votes: 9 - 4.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 6.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 83.9% – 93.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Castellón has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lugo has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Castellón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.20	Fuenlabrada - Castellón	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	UD Logroñés - Castellón	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Castellón - Málaga	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Ponferradina - Castellón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWTLW
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Cartagena - Lugo	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Lugo - Almería	0:2 ✺
20.09.20	Lugo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

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