Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Castellón		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.2	3.1	3.45	Watch
	2.16	3.05	3.5
	2.22	3.24	3.61
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.11)	3.11 ↑ (3.11)	3.54 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
43%

Draw
30.4%

Ponferradina
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castellón - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 and 8).

Castellón has the most likely position - 18 (18.09%), has project points - 46, has currently - 41, has a chance of relegated (33%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 8 (25.19%), has project points - 57, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Castellón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.21	Cartagena - Castellón	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Tenerife - Castellón	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Castellón - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
12.04.21	Alcorcón - Castellón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.21	Ponferradina - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
24.04.21	Ponferradina - Lugo	2:0 ✺
19.04.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.20	Ponferradina - Castellón	1:2

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