Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 15

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Leganés		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.75	3.35	5.25
	1.69	3.45	5
	1.74	3.58	5.53
				Watch
	1.73	3.46	5.2	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)	5.18 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
54.9%

Draw
27%

Ponferradina
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

27.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leganés's performance.

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	23.8%	14.3%

Leganés - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Leganés has the most likely position - 12 (6.31%), has project points - 56, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (8.82%), has project points - 48, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 33, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2.

Leganés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Leganés is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Ibiza - Leganés	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Leganés - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Leganés - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Levante - Leganés	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Leganés - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Ponferradina - Huesca	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Racing Santander - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Villarreal B - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.22	Ponferradina - Leganés	0:3
12.12.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1
19.04.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1
29.11.20	Ponferradina - Leganés	3:2
23.04.16	Leganés - Ponferradina	3:0
22.11.15	Ponferradina - Leganés	1:0
05.04.15	Ponferradina - Leganés	1:1

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