Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Pisa		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.6
	1.87	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.28	5	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.6
	1.86	3.32	4.68	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)	4.66 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pisa
50.9%

Draw
28.9%

Carrarese
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	15.2%	3%

Pisa - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: Pisa will win (53 of 64 users predict this - 82.81%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.57% – 92.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 33. Calabresi A. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 45. Lind A. 11. Tramoni M.	1. Bleve M. (G) 72. Zanon S. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 13. Bouah D. 17. Zuelli E. 82. Capezzi L. 20. Giovane S. 11. Cicconi M. 19. Shpendi S. 32. Finotto M.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 94. Bonfanti G. 9. Bonfanti N. 8. Hojholt M. 74. Jevsenak Z. 22. Loria L. (G) 7. Mlakar J. 80. Morutan O. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 17. Rus A. 13. Sussi C.	77. Belloni N. 28. Capello A. 16. Cavion M. 90. Cerri L. 9. Cherubini L. 24. Chiorra N. (G) 25. Falco F. 71. Kovalenko I. 29. Maressa T. 44. Mazzi G. (G) 6. Oliana F. 8. Palmieri R.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Canestrelli S. ⚽, Angori S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Capezzi L. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
46', Bouah D. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Finotto M. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
66', Marin M. 🟨,
69', Moreo S. 🟨,
74', Calabresi A. ↓, Rus A. ↑,
74', Piccinini G. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
80', Finotto M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Caracciolo Ant. ⚽,
90', Shpendi S. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
90', Imperiale M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
90+1', Tramoni M. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
90+2', Oliana F. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Leris M. (Injury)

There will not play in Carrarese: Schiavi N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Pisa won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Modena - Pisa	1:0 ✺
13.12.24	Pisa - Bari	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Mantova - Pisa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Carrarese - Cesena	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Sampdoria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Brescia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Carrarese - Pisa	1:0
Club Friendly
18.08.23	Pisa - Carrarese	1:0
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
22.05.19	Pisa - Carrarese	2:1
19.05.19	Carrarese - Pisa	2:2
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.19	Pisa - Carrarese	1:0
25.11.18	Carrarese - Pisa	4:1
24.03.18	Pisa - Carrarese	0:2

Upcoming Matches