Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 19

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.37	2.95	3.2
	2.45	3	3	Watch
	2.47	3.06	3.34
	2.42	3.04	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.44	3.04	3.19	Watch
	2.45	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.57)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
39%

Draw
31.1%

Catanzaro
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	25%	18.7%

Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cosenza: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 29. Sgarbi F. 23. Venturi M. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 28. Kouan C. 6. Charlys 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 39. Kourfalidis C. 30. Mazzocchi S. 20. Rizzo Pinna A.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Brighenti N. 14. Scognamillo S. 6. Bonini F. 7. Compagnon M. 90. Pittarello F. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 92. Situm M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 45. Buso N.
Substitutes
19. Ciervo R. 2. Cimino B. 15. Dalle Mura C. 10. Fumagalli T. 55. Hristov A. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 31. Ricci G. 9. Sankoh M. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.	4. Antonini Lui M. 28. Biasci T. 99. Borrelli E. (G) 17. Brignola E. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Ceresoli A. 1. Dini A. (G) 19. La Mantia A. 24. Pagano R. 21. Pompetti M. 29. Seck D. 3. Turicchia R.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Caserta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Caporale A. 🟥,
38', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Charlys 🟨,
61', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
61', Situm M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
65', Brighenti N. 🟨,
66', Mazzocchi S. 🟨,
70', Compagnon M. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
73', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
76', D'Orazio T. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
77', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Pompetti M. ⚽,
84', Charlys ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
84', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
84', Kourfalidis C. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
85', Pittarello F. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
85', Buso N. ↓, Brignola E. ↑,
90+16', 1 - 1, Ciervo R. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0.

Cosenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Catanzaro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cosenza will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Cosenza: Florenzi A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.4:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
21.12.24	Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
21.12.24	Catanzaro - Spezia	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Palermo - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
23.11.24	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.03.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	0:2
26.11.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
08.04.18	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	0:0
19.11.17	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
22.12.16	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1
28.08.16	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	0:3
14.02.16	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1

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