Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ceará		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.90	Watch
	2.15	2.87	3.50
	2.20	2.75	3.85	Watch
	2.27	2.95	3.91
	2.3	2.87	3.56	Watch
	2.20	2.90	3.85
	2.17	2.86	3.85	Watch
	2.22	2.85	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.13)	2.86 ↓ (2.96)	3.75 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
42.4%

Draw
32.7%

Cuiabá
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ceará - Cuiabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (G) 2. Ramos R. 18. Julio Cesar 33. Eder 6. Savio 21. Giovanni Pavani 26. Richardson (C) 35. Giulio 29. Vina 20. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 99. Lucca	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 13. Joao Basso 5. Calebe Costa 4. Vitor Mendes 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Raul (C) 8. Pepe 36. Lorenzo 11. Eliel 77. Jean Dias 96. Pedro H.
Substitutes
88. Caio 60. Enzo Lodovico 71. Gabriel Rocha 90. Kaua Ziegler 7. Lopez R. 11. Lucas Mugni 13. Luiz Otavio 8. Matheus Araujo 22. Matheus Nogueira (G) 40. Melk 12. Sanchez	20. David Miguel 39. Guilherme Mansano 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 37. Raylan 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto 53. Weverson
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Marcelo Carne ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Jean Dias ⚽, Eliel (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
46', Pepe ↓, David Miguel ↑,
46', Vina ↓, Melk ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Calebe Costa ⚽,
58', Ramos R. ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
58', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
59', Richardson 🟨,
67', Giulio ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
69', Calebe Costa 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Enzo Lodovico ⚽, Lucca (A),
71', Eliel ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
80', Lorenzo ↓, Weverson ↑,
80', Jean Dias ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
88', Enzo Lodovico ↓, Kaua Ziegler ↑,
88', Pedro H. ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
90+2', Eder 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Kauan Cristtyan ⚽, Rodrigo Rodrigues (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 15)

Ceará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cuiabá is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ceará will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ceará: Gilmar (Injury) Joao Gabriel (Yellow Cards) Ramos R. (Inactive) Vinicius Zanocelo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Eric Melo (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Joao Araujo (Inactive) Mateus Santos (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
07.08.26	Ceará - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	3:4 ✺
22.07.26	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	América Mineiro - Ceará	1:1 ✺
13.07.26	Ceará - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.26	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Sport Recife - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Juventude - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	São Bernardo - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Cuiabá - Ceará	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.22	Ceará - Cuiabá	1:1
18.06.22	Cuiabá - Ceará	0:0
07.11.21	Ceará - Cuiabá	1:0
11.07.21	Cuiabá - Ceará	2:2

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