Match Info

Cearense - Round 4

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping
Mexico	TVC Deportes


	Ceará		Iguatu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.33	12.42	Watch
	1.3	3.9	10
	1.37	4.36	9.26
	1.3	4.75	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.28)	4.34 ↓ (4.5)	10.67 ↓ (12.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ceará
70.1%

Draw
21.3%

Iguatu
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

20.5%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ceará - Iguatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (G) 2. Ramos R. 63. Gilmar 33. Eder 14. Eric Melo 26. Richardson 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 8. Matheus Araujo 7. Pedro Henrique 99. Lucca 35. Giulio	1. Ze Rafael (G) 2. Biel Potiguar 5. Victor Salvador 4. Diguinho 14. Max Oliveira 22. Talisson 20. Jeffinho 10. Cassio Halloween 7. Rogerio 11. Tiaguinho 15. Bruno Menezes
Substitutes
21. Alex Silva 86. Aloisio 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 11. Fernandinho 17. Fernando 71. Gabriel Rocha 81. Joao Gabriel 23. Jorge (G) 90. Kaua Ziegler 31. Lucas Lima 29. Vina	18. Caio 13. Joao Pedro 25. Leandrinho 9. Matheus Lima 19. Piaui 16. Tafinha 3. Wagner Vidal 12. Ytalo (G) 21. Ze Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Bruno Menezes 🟨,
15', Richardson 🟨,
19', Rogerio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bruno Menezes ↓, Caio ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
53', 1 - 1, Jeffinho ⚽, Tiaguinho (A),
56', Jeffinho 🟨,
61', Giulio ↓, Vina ↑,
62', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
64', Gilmar 🟨,
67', Richardson ↓, Fernando ↑,
67', Eric Melo ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
76', Ramos R. ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
81', Ze Rafael 🟨,
84', Jeffinho ↓, Matheus Lima ↑,
85', Max Oliveira 🟨,
90+2', Cassio Halloween ↓, Leandrinho ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3.

Ceará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ceará is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
14.01.26	Ceará - Maranguape	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Floresta - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Ceará - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Flamengo - Ceará	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Ceará - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLT
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
14.01.26	Iguatu - Tirol	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Iguatu - Maranguape	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Iguatu - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Iguatu - Maracanã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
29.01.25	Ceará - Iguatu	1:0
18.03.23	Ceará - Iguatu	2:0
12.03.23	Iguatu - Ceará	1:1
26.02.22	Iguatu - Ceará	2:0 penalties
22.02.22	Ceará - Iguatu	2:1
13.03.18	Ceará - Iguatu	3:3
21.01.18	Iguatu - Ceará	2:1

Upcoming Matches