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Current Win Probability
Ceará 44.6%
Draw 29.4%
Internacional RS 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.9%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
30.7%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
The chances for Internacional RS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.9%
26.8%
7.3%
Ceará - Internacional RS Predictions
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Internacional will win (votes: 3 - 7.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 26.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 51.4% – 80.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Internacional (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Internacional (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 44. Marcos Victor 23. Willian Machado (C) 79. Matheus Bahia 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 20. Diego 7. Pedro Henrique 29. Vina 27. Galeano A. 9. Pedro Raul
12. Ivan (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 4. Vitao 26. Bernabei A. 14. Rodriguez A. 39. Luis Otavio 17. Bruno Tabata 10. Alan Patrick (C) 28. Vitinho 19. Borre R.
Substitutes
11. Aylon 33. Eder 77. Fernandinho 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Mugni 99. Lucca 3. Marllon 30. Nicolas 17. Paulo Baya 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson 75. Rodriguinho
35. Aguirre B. 30. Alisson 24. Anthoni (G) 23. Benitez A. 8. Bruno Henrique 7. Carbonero J. 47. Gustavo Prado 18. Juninho 49. Ricardo Mathias 36. Richard 11. Romero O. 41. Victor Gabriel
Coaches
Leo Conde
Ramon Diaz
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Diego 🟨,
4', Vina 🟥,
45+2', Pedro Raul 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ivan ↓, Anthoni ↑,
46', Bruno Tabata ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
54', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
56', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
58', Luis Otavio 🟨,
63', Luis Otavio ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
73', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
79', Bruno Tabata 🟥,
80', 1 - 1, Ricardo Mathias (Own goal),
82', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
82', Diego ↓, Lourenco ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Ricardo Mathias ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
89', Carbonero J. 🟥,
90+3', Alan Patrick ↓, Juninho ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 0.
Ceará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Internacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Internacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ceará is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ceará: Fernando Sobral
(Ankle Injury)
Ramos R.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Internacional: Aguirre B.
(Heel Injury)
Rochet S.
(Foot Injury)
Ronaldo
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Maia
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Internacional: Vitinho
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
Brazil
China
Ecuador
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Bruno Ferreira (G) 
Galeano A. 
Mercado G. 
Rodriguez A. 
Borre R. 
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