The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celaya 48%
Draw 27.3%
Cancún 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
25.7%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Celaya - Cancún Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Espinoza G. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 31. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E. 20. Tovar J. 23. Vazquez J. (C)
21. Gutierrez G. (G) 7. Alonzo J. 9. Diaz J. 23. Galindo B. (C) 3. Hernandez J. 26. Marin H. 2. Padilla A. 11. Perez M. 12. Rodriguez J. 6. Vazquez A. 15. Villa O.
Substitutes
25. Blanco D. 6. Del Angel E. 12. Fuentes Lugo D. (G) 170. Gonzalez J. 30. Hernandez J. 136. Luna E. G. 17. Montejano E. 174. Rodriguez E. J. 11. Tejeda D. 9. Wlk Dure A. S.
1. Andrade C. (G) 28. Moreira J. 33. Munoz Z. 19. Prieto C. 4. Reyes R. 17. Rodriguez A. 24. Unjanque J. 10. Uscanga P. 20. Zaragoza A.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.
Arce L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Baltazar C. ⚽,
43', Hernandez J. 🟨,
45', Alonzo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Padilla A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
64', Cervantes D. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
73', Baltazar C. 🟨,
73', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
80', Dominguez A. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
80', Tovar J. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Del Angel E. ⚽,
85', Manriquez S. 🟨,
85', Vazquez A. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
86', Galindo B. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
86', Alonzo J. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
88', Baltazar C. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
90', Gamboa J. ↓, Luna E. G. ↑,
90', Barragan M. ↓, Wlk Dure A. S. ↑,
90+1', Hernandez J. ↓, Prieto C. ↑,
90+3', Diaz J. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 4.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cancún have a series of home games.
In this match Celaya is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Celaya won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:5 (average 2:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:2 (average 2.4:0.4).
Mexico
Venezuela
Watch
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Espinoza G. (G) 
de los Santos L. 
Rodriguez J. 
Gonzalez J. 
Wlk Dure A. S. 
Moreira J. 
