Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)


	Venados		Cancún

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.47
	2.05	3.69	3.27	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	1.94	3.79	3.46	Watch
	1.94	3.33	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)	3.53 ↑ (3.27)	3.29 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venados
45.6%

Draw
26.2%

Cancún
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Venados - Cancún Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cancún will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ramirez S. (G) 18. Amador K. 7. Calero J. 2. Casillas J. (C) 10. Dominguez A. 4. Grijalva A. 5. Lanchi 29. Lora S. 17. Martinez J. 11. Tejeda D. 8. Torres D.	1. Andrade C. (G) 14. Campos K. 5. Chavez A. 3. Hernandez J. 8. Melendre F. 6. Ochoa I. 17. Padilla E. 19. Preciado G. 4. Reyes R. 11. Trejo C. (C) 30. Zabala L.
Substitutes
19. Ballesteros O. 143. Benitez S. 20. Cruz J. 28. Delgado A. (G) 9. Derbez L. 23. Galvan P. 21. Lopez C. 15. Navarrete D. 34. Saucedo S. 30. Torres Sauri M.	26. Arce E. (G) 21. Barraza L. 7. El-mesmari B. 15. Guillen D. 32. Lopez L. 18. Montiel S. 12. Rodriguez J. 22. Soria E. 10. Uscanga P. 9. Villatoro M.
Coaches
Garcia I. C.	Bravo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Grijalva A. 🟨,
28', Melendre F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', Padilla E. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Grijalva A. ⚽,
71', Tejeda D. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
73', Ochoa I. 🟨,
74', Ochoa I. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
74', Melendre F. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
74', Preciado G. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
78', Calero J. 🟨,
80', Hernandez J. 🟨,
82', Chavez A. 🟥,
86', Padilla E. ↓, El-mesmari B. ↑,
86', Campos K. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
90', Zabala L. 🟨,
90+1', Calero J. ↓, Navarrete D. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Lora S. ⚽, Lanchi (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3.

Venados has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Venados might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Venados won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19
7	Cancun	11	5	2	4	19:15	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.02.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Atlético La Paz - Venados	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Venados - Dorados	4:4 ✺
16.01.26	Tapatío - Venados	4:2 ✺
09.01.26	Venados - Irapuato	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTLW
- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.01.26	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tlaxcala - Cancún	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Cancún - Dorados	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cancún - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.25	Cancún - Venados	1:0
15.02.25	Cancún - Venados	1:2
31.08.24	Venados - Cancún	4:0
03.04.24	Venados - Cancún	2:0
19.11.23	Cancún - Venados	2:1
16.11.23	Venados - Cancún	1:0
29.07.23	Cancún - Venados	2:1

Upcoming Matches