Match Info

Prva liga - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje)

Referee: Jeric A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Celje		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.50	5.50
	1.44	4.25	5.20	Watch
	1.49	4.78	5.94
	1.55	4.59	4.97	Watch
	1.47	4.55	5.85
	1.60	4.13	4.91	Watch
	1.46	4.50	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.47 ↓ (4.56)	5.37 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
62%

Draw
20.7%

Aluminij Kidricevo
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

20.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

20.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celje (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leban Z. (G) 11. Avdyli M. 44. Bejger L. 27. Calusic I. 91. Dukuly Y. 77. Ivansek M. 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. (C) 10. Seslar S. 14. Ticic L. 6. Tutyskinas A.	31. Raduha F. (G) 12. Bekavac A. 5. Boben M. 14. Jagic T. (C) 11. Osuji B. 44. Petrisko P. 4. Schaubach R. 6. Simunic D. 45. Susso B. 32. Tezak V. 13. Vrbanec M.
Substitutes
13. Daniel P. 20. Dionkou A. 4. Hrka D. 33. Koutris L. 9. Kramer B. 32. Letonja T. 21. Sluga S. (G) 25. Tusha V. 7. Verbic B. 3. Vuklisevic D. 19. Zabukovnik M. 15. Zuzek Z.	25. Bajraj M. 27. Blazic M. 9. Bloudek A. 23. Kramberger E. 7. Mladenovic M. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 10. Ramsak R. 18. Rogina S. 20. Svrznjak I. 66. Tomazic L. (G) 3. Zajsek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Avdyli M. ⚽,
19', Petrisko P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Bekavac A. 🟨,
62', Ticic L. ↓, Zabukovnik M. ↑,
63', Ivansek M. ↓, Zuzek Z. ↑,
63', Susso B. ↓, Ramsak R. ↑,
63', Bekavac A. ↓, Zajsek D. ↑,
71', Kvesic M. ↓, Tusha V. ↑,
71', Kucys A. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
77', Petrisko P. ↓, Mladenovic M. ↑,
80', Avdyli M. 🟨,
81', Calusic I. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
83', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
86', Osuji B. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
87', Vrbanec M. ↓, Svrznjak I. ↑,
90+2', Schaubach R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celje won 4.

Celje is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Aluminij has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Aluminij may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Celje has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Celje for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Celje has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:18 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Celje against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:9 goals (averaging 1.9:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Celje	10	4	3	3	12:11	1	15
6	Aluminij	11	3	4	4	16:12	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Celje - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.46%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.09.26	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Celje	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.09.26	NK Bravo - Celje	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Celje - Koper	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:6 ✺
05.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	0:2
26.04.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	5:0
05.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:1
01.11.25	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1
17.08.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:3
30.03.24	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2
Club Friendly
04.02.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	1:4

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