Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Celta de Vigo		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.85	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.86	3.7	4.4
	1.84	3.81	4.47
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.85	3.91	4.57	Watch
	1.83	3.7	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	3.73 ↓ (3.85)	4.38 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
52.4%

Draw
25.7%

Almería
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.4%	13.9%	9.7%

Celta de Vigo - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 55 - 76.4%). Almería will win (votes: 7 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 66.6% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Guaita V. (G) 22. Manquillo J. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 4. Nunez U. 23. Sanchez M. 3. Mingueza O. 8. Beltran F. 14. de la Torre L. 17. Bamba J. 12. Douvikas A. 18. Larsen J. S.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 3. Gonzalez E. 16. Radovanovic A. 24. Langa B. 5. Robertone L. (C) 4. Baba I. 38. Romero L. 8. Viera J. 10. Embarba A. 15. Lozano C.
Substitutes
9. Allende T. 33. Alvarez H. 26. Carrillo J. B. (G) 11. Cervi F. 28. Dominguez C. 16. Jailson 7. Perez C. 32. Rodriguez J. 30. Sotelo H. 20. Vazquez K. 13. Villar I. (G)	19. Arribas S. 20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 12. Leo Baptistao 6. Lopy D. 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 11. Melero G. 29. Milovanovic M. 22. Montes C. 17. Pozo A. 7. Ramazani L.
Coaches
Benitez R.	Garitano G.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celta won 3.

Recent matches Celta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almería is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Celta is a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Aspas I. (Yellow Cards) Dotor C. (Pelvis Injury) Ristic M. (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez M. (Foot Injury) Swedberg W. (Ankle Injury) Tapia R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Suarez L. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Radovanovic A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Celta won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Celta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
25.02.24	Cádiz - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLWL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
24.02.24	Almería - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Granada - Almería	1:1 ✺
12.02.24	Almería - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Valencia - Almería	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.09.23	Almería - Celta de Vigo	2:3
02.04.23	Celta de Vigo - Almería	2:2
29.10.22	Almería - Celta de Vigo	3:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.15	Celta de Vigo - Almería	1:0
02.12.15	Almería - Celta de Vigo	1:3
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.15	Almería - Celta de Vigo	2:2
19.12.14	Celta de Vigo - Almería	0:1

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