Match Info

Date: 2 September 2020, Wednesday


	Celta de Vigo		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	9
	1.44	3.9	6.25
	1.35	4	9
	1.35	4	7
	1.42	3.89	9.55
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.44	4.45	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.09 ↑ (4.05)	7.86 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
65.8%

Draw
22.5%

Lugo
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

13.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-28.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celta de Vigo - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Celta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lugo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celta is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Celta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Celta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
19.07.20	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
16.07.20	Celta de Vigo - Levante	2:3 ✺
11.07.20	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
07.07.20	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
04.07.20	Celta de Vigo - Betis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTT
- CD Lugo
Club Friendly
30.08.20	Sporting de Gijón - Lugo	1:2 ✺
26.08.20	Lugo - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
20.07.20	Lugo - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
17.07.20	Tenerife - Lugo	1:2 ✺
12.07.20	Lugo - Girona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Celta de Vigo - Lugo	3:0
16.07.16	Celta de Vigo - Lugo	1:2

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