Match Info

LaLiga - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Celta de Vigo		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2	3.4	3.8
	2.02	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.9	3.7	4.29
	2.01	3.31	4.02	Watch
	2	3.1	3.8
	2.06	3.36	4.03	Watch
	2	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.86)	3.34 ↓ (3.7)	3.97 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
47.6%

Draw
28.5%

Valencia
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	25.7%	8.6%

Celta de Vigo - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 4. Aidoo J. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 3. Mingueza O. 19. Swedberg W. 7. Iglesias B. (C) 15. Zaragoza B.	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 4. Diakhaby M. 3. Copete J. 21. Vazquez J. 12. Correia T. 18. Pepelu (C) 8. Guerra J. 10. Almeida A. 9. Duro H. 15. Beltran L.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 8. Beltran F. 11. Cervi F. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)	28. Abril V. (G) 7. Danjuma A. 14. Gaya J. 16. Lopez D. 29. Nunez L. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 11. Rioja L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Pepelu (Penalty Awarded),
28', Swedberg W. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Iglesias B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', Duro H. 🟨,
57', Correia T. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
57', Beltran L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Iglesias B. ⚽, Duran P. (A),
62', Ramazani L. 🟨,
66', Guerra J. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
66', Foulquier D. ↓, Tarrega C. ↑,
67', Zaragoza B. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
67', Iglesias B. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Pepelu ⚽,
75', Copete J. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
81', Copete J. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
81', Duran P. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, Alvarez H. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Dominguez C. (Groin Injury) Ristic M. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Valencia: Comert E. (Illness) Dimitrievski S. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Tarrega C. (Knee Injury) Ugrinic F. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.31% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TLWLW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.02.25	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:1
23.08.24	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	3:1
26.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.24	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	1:3
Spanish LaLiga
25.11.23	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0
14.05.23	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	1:2
17.09.22	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	3:0

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