Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		La Luz

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.13	4.04
				Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.2
	1.9	3.08	4.03	Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	3.92 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
46.7%

Draw
30.1%

La Luz
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Español's performance.

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Luz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Español - La Luz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,
90+2', Gandolfo G. 🟥,

Preview

In recent matches, Central Español has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Luz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

La Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Central Español is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.06.25	Central Español - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
04.06.25	Central Español - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0 ✺
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTWL
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.06.25	La Luz - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Rentistas - La Luz	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	La Luz - Artigas	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	La Luz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.07.22	La Luz - Central Español	0:0
30.04.22	Central Español - La Luz	3:2

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