Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday


	Central Norte		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6.25
	1.45	3.6	6.6
	1.45	3.85	6.2
	1.37	3.77	7.79
	1.39	4.1	7.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)	3.82 ↑ (3.2)	6.85 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
63.3%

Draw
23.6%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

26.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions

Users Predictions: Central Norte will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Central Norte is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gimnasia y Esgrima is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Central Norte to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.09.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Central Norte - Boca Unidos	3:1 ✺
24.08.22	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Central Norte - Crucero del Norte	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.09.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
24.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:1 ✺
14.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Racing de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Central Norte	0:0
17.10.21	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	4:0
18.07.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Central Norte	0:0
24.11.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Central Norte	0:0

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