Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerezo Osaka		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.4
	1.96	3.50	3.55	Watch
	1.96	3.71	3.94
	1.92	3.65	3.89	Watch
	1.89	3.60	3.85
	1.94	3.69	3.85	Watch
	1.90	3.60	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.54 ↓ (3.71)	3.75 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
48.2%

Draw
26.6%

Fagiano Okayama
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 44. Hatanaka S. 4. Inoue R. 2. Nakamura T. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 28. Okazawa K. 22. Takahashi N. 8. Kagawa S. 14. Yokoyama Y. 9. Sakuragawa S.	13. Matsuda S. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 51. Shirai K. 28. Matsumoto M. 41. Miyamoto E. 79. Browne N. 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao
Substitutes
31. Abe K. (G) 77. Fernandes L. 5. Kida H. 41. Komi Y. 66. Ohata A. 16. Okuda H. 97. Takahashi T. 11. Thiago Andrade 7. Uejo S.	22. Ichimi K. 33. Kamiya Yuta 77. Kawanami G. (G) 20. Kawano K. 44. Mori S. 80. Oberdan 5. Shu I. 17. Sueyoshi R. 88. Yamane T.
Coaches
Machin P.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Browne N. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Okazawa K. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Yokoyama Y. ⚽, Kagawa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsumoto M. ↓, Oberdan ↑,
58', Kagawa S. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
58', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
58', Browne N. ↓, Yamane T. ↑,
67', Takahashi N. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
67', Miyamoto E. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
67', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
75', Ohata A. 🟨,
79', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
79', Nakamura T. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
79', Esaka A. ↓, Kawano K. ↑,
87', Kawano K. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
88', Okazawa K. ↓, Kida H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4.

Okayama's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Okayama has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cerezo Osaka is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Shibayama M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Okayama: Kimura T. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury) Kambayashi G. (Shoulder Injury) Okuda H. (Ankle Injury) Sakata R. (Hamstring Injury) Takahashi T. (Hernia) Thiago Andrade (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Okayama: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Cerezo Osaka - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Cerezo Osaka - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 WWTWW
- Fagiano Okayama
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Schalke 04 - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Werder Bremen - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Kharkiv - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Paderborn - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
14.07.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
23.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	2:3
18.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
18.10.25	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	1:2
02.04.25	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1
Japan J2 League
04.12.16	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
16.10.16	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
28.05.16	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1

Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide