Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 3

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Parque Liebig's (Fray Bentos)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)


	La Luz		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.9
	4.03	3.51	1.99
	3.6	3.2	1.85
	3.82	3.45	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.43)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
24.8%

Draw
27.2%

Defensor Sporting
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

27.7%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

La Luz - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 3. Padula Lenna G. 2. Paolini M. 4. Gonzalez M. 24. Baeza J. 20. Rabunal M. 14. Porcile P. 30. Quintana J. 16. Hernandez A. (C) 10. Osores B. 99. Gonzalez D.	23. Dufour M. (G) 7. Rodriguez N. 3. De los Santos G. 14. Quintana Y. 4. Cabrera R. 21. Valiente J. 24. de los Santos L. 8. Elizari F. 22. Leandro Barcia 20. Navarro A. (C) 10. Duarte A.
Substitutes
28. Barreto F. 5. De Los Santos M. 22. Fagundez P. 15. Gonzalez A. 11. Lemos E. 26. Machado L. 6. Martirena F. 1. Mendez R. (G) 21. Pucheta J. 29. Ramis J.	29. Agazzi L. 34. Barco A. 5. Bernal F. 13. Cambon A. 18. Figueredo H. 16. Freitas G. 27. Jorge J. M. 6. Martinez E. 1. Rossi N. (G) 28. Ymbert L.
Coaches
Russo M.	Mendez M.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

La Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensor Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.08.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - La Luz	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz	0:1 ✺
21.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
16.07.23	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
07.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLTL
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.08.23	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
01.07.23	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	3:0
19.02.23	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	1:0
Uruguay Copa
13.11.22	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	1:0

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