Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+, VTV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.62
	7.68	4.07	1.43	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.63
	2.6	2.92	2.59	Watch
	2.66	3.14	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.17)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
27.2%

Draw
31.3%

Deportes Concepción
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.

Cerro Largo - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Moreno J. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. 2. Chocobar G. F. 6. Monserrat M. 7. Viera G. 15. Assis S. 25. Jourdan E. 30. Hernandez B. 10. Pandiani A. 19. Sellecchia F.	1. Cesar (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 23. Rojas J. 37. Grillo F. 6. Vera M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 16. Sandoval M. 30. Espinoza E. 19. Jara A. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
Substitutes
11. Anasco M. 22. Bertocchi N. 9. Correa T. 18. Daguerre D. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 16. Ibarra D. 29. Perez I. 3. Piegas A. 4. Souza F.	25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 7. Gillard A. 20. Henriquez Neira J. A. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 26. Romero L. 13. Suarez C. 11. Vejar B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Jara A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Sellecchia F. ⚽,
38', Caceres A. 🟨,
45', Correa L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
46', Chocobar G. F. ↓, Piegas A. ↑,
46', Jourdan E. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Larrivey J. ⚽,
61', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
64', Rodriguez N. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
64', Correa L. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
64', Pandiani A. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
70', Bertocchi N. 🟥,
70', Grillo F. 🟥,
72', Espinoza E. ↓, Carrasco D. ↑,
72', Vera M. ↓, Henriquez Neira J. A. ↑,
74', Sellecchia F. ↓, Franca S. ↑,
79', Viera G. ↓, Souza F. ↑,
79', Jara A. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
79', Larrivey J. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
79', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,

Preview

Deportes Concepción has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cerro Largo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
17.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	2:3 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
12.01.26	Cerro Largo - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.11.25	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLWW
- Deportes Concepción
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
07.12.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:3 ✺
03.12.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWTTW

Upcoming Matches