Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Cerro Porteño		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5.25
	1.74	3.55	5.1
	1.68	3.66	5.88
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.69	3.7	5.1	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.53 ↑ (3.37)	5.33 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
55.7%

Draw
26.6%

Barcelona Guayaquil
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Cerro Porteño - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Cerro Porteño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona Guayaquil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.04.23	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	5:0 ✺
25.03.23	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	4:1 ✺
20.03.23	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.23	Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.03.23	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	5:0 ✺
25.02.23	Gualaceo - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
26.02.20	Cerro Porteño - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:4
19.02.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cerro Porteño	1:0

Upcoming Matches