Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Monza

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.15
	3	3.1	2.32	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.44
	3.15	3.04	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.04	3.25	2.41	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.46)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
29.8%

Draw
29.5%

Monza
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.4%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	27.8%	61.1%

Cesena - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Monza will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Monza (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cesena (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 25%). Monza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 70. Francesconi M. 4. Castagnetti M. 14. Berti T. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Cerri A. 9. Shpendi C.	20. Thiam D. (G) 19. Birindelli S. 13. Ravanelli L. 3. Lucchesi L. 26. Ciurria P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 14. Obiang P. 7. Azzi P. 8. Hernani 30. Caso G. 10. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 10. Bastoni S. 25. Bisoli D. 27. Corazza T. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 18. Guidi M. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G) 22. Vrioni G. 17. Wade I.	25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 44. Carboni A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 15. Delli Carri F. 47. Mota D. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)
Coaches
Mignani M.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Frabotta G. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Azzi P. ⚽, Pessina M. (A),
33', Ciofi A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Cutrone P. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Azzi P. 🟨,
60', Cerri A. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
60', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
62', Hernani ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
62', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
66', Cutrone P. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
66', Caso G. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
70', Azzi P. 🟨,
73', Shpendi C. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
73', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Petagna A. ⚽, Bakoune A. (A),
80', Zaro G. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
80', Francesconi M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
88', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Frabotta G. ⚽, Ciervo R. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent form of Cesena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cesena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cesena: Arrigoni T. (Inactive) Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Magni V. (Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Forson O. (Inactive) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cesena: Tosku F. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
28.02.26	Empoli - Cesena	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cesena - Spezia	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Cesena - Venezia	0:4 ✺
10.02.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Cesena - Pescara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.11.25	Monza - Cesena	1:0

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